Tagged: polymarket

April 27, 2026 @ 10:09 am By Omar Faridi  |  

A recent working paper from scholars at the London Business School and Yale University offers fresh insight into how modern prediction markets really work. By poring over years of transaction records from Polymarket—the so-called “decentralized” platform for betting on real-world events—the researchers discovered that roughly… Read More

April 25, 2026 @ 4:37 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Brazilian authorities have blocked access to leading prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket. The move forms part of a larger enforcement effort targeting unlicensed betting-style services, with officials emphasizing the need to shield everyday investors from unregulated risks. Finance Minister Dario Durigan announced the… Read More

April 20, 2026 @ 4:47 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Dune Analytics has indicated that Polymarket has transformed prediction markets by introducing ultra-short-duration contracts that prioritize speed and automation. According to a detailed on-chain study by Dune Analytics, these “fast markets”—launched in September 2025—have rapidly shifted from a niche experiment to a major driver of… Read More

April 2, 2026 @ 5:03 pm By JD Alois  |  

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is poised to do battle with several states that have challenged prediction market platforms. The CFTIC filed suit today, challenging the legal actions of Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois against CFTC-registered designated contract markets. The CFTC stated: “Congress long ago… Read More

March 31, 2026 @ 9:30 am By Omar Faridi  |  

TRM Labs has indicated that prediction markets—platforms allowing traders to buy and sell contracts tied to the outcomes of real-world events like elections, geopolitical conflicts, economic shifts, sports results, and pop culture happenings—have evolved from niche forecasting tools into a major financial phenomenon. Once limited… Read More

March 29, 2026 @ 10:07 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the firm behind the New York Stock Exchange and a global enabler of financial market infrastructure, has signaled strong conviction in the future of prediction markets with a major new capital commitment. The company has now injected $600 million in direct cash… Read More

March 25, 2026 @ 1:19 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Decentralized prediction markets platform Polymarket has unveiled a major policy shift: starting March 30, it will impose taker fees on nearly all trading categories for the first time. The new structure introduces variable rates that peak at 1.8 percent for crypto-related contracts, with effective fees… Read More

March 25, 2026 @ 8:37 am By Omar Faridi  |  

In a somewhat surprising twist amid fierce industry competition, the leaders of two top prediction market platforms have pooled resources to back a specialized venture capital fund. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan are key investors in 5c(c) Capital, a new firm… Read More

March 15, 2026 @ 6:57 pm By JD Alois  |  

Michael B. Jordan currently holds a solid lead regarding the Oscar for Best Actor on the two top prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi. As it stands right now, Jordan is at 58% on Kalshi ($17 million+ in volume) and 59% on Polymarket ($11 million+). Eating… Read More

March 14, 2026 @ 6:56 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Kalshi and Polymarket, which are now the two leading prediction market platforms, are independently exploring fresh capital raises that could push their valuations close to $20 billion each, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report. The discussions, still said to be in their earliest… Read More

March 2, 2026 @ 3:50 pm By JD Alois  |  

The bombs have only just begun to fly in the conflict between the US/Israel and the authoritarian regime controlling Iran. Launched late Saturday, the military action was revealed via social media by President Trump. Soon it was revealed that many members of the Iranian regime’s… Read More

March 2, 2026 @ 8:45 am By Omar Faridi  |  

In a surge of activity, decentralized prediction platform Polymarket has reportedly surpassed previous benchmarks in international trading, with stakes on potential U.S. military involvement with Iran climbing past $529 million. This contract, centered on the possibility of airstrikes or other interventions against a major Middle… Read More

March 1, 2026 @ 2:55 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

In yet another striking development within the ecosystem of decentralized prediction markets, blockchain analysis company Bubblemaps has uncovered a cluster of six cryptocurrency wallets that amassed a combined net profit of $1 million on Polymarket. These gains stemmed from wagers predicting that the United States… Read More

February 24, 2026 @ 12:06 pm By JD Alois  |  

The State of the Union will be delivered tonight by President Donald Trump. This is the first time Trump has addressed a joint session of Congress and the entire US. He is expected to provide an update on his Administration’s goals and defend his performance… Read More

February 17, 2026 @ 2:59 pm By JD Alois  |  

A battle line has been drawn between states that want to maintain control over wagering and betting and prediction markets that offer event-driven markets for a wide range of binary outcomes. Earlier today, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig threw down the gauntlet, declaring that the Commission is ready… Read More

February 17, 2026 @ 10:06 am By JD Alois  |  

The Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is supporting the fast emerging prediction markets. Following an onslaught of state-based lawsuits, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig has issued a statement defending these marketplaces and filed a friend-of-the-court brief advocating federal oversight rather than piecemeal state regulation. Chairman Selig… Read More

February 5, 2026 @ 3:50 pm By JD Alois  |  

Prediction markets have proven to be pretty effective in anticipating the outcome of various types of events. A huge event, at least in the US, is taking place this Sunday as the Super Bowl will kick off at 630PM ET in Santa Clara, California. This… Read More

February 5, 2026 @ 3:24 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction markets, where participants wager on the outcomes of real-world events ranging from elections to sports, have surged in popularity as a innovative segment of the web3 ecosystem. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket allow users to buy and sell contracts tied to these events, effectively… Read More

February 5, 2026 @ 3:08 pm By JD Alois  |  

A class action lawsuit has been filed against prediction marketplace Polymarket, claiming illegal gambling. The suit was filed in the Southern District of New York, claiming that Polymarket is an unlicensed sports betting firm. The case has been filed with Lorenzo Miro of San Diego… Read More

January 19, 2026 @ 9:56 am By JD Alois  |  

President Donald Trump is rattling world markets once again as his quest to acquire Greenland, one way or another ratchets ups with declarations of added tariffs on various European countries. On Saturday, Trump stated that until a deal regarding Greenland was not reached, the following… Read More